{"id":11213,"date":"2017-05-15T09:12:36","date_gmt":"2017-05-15T09:12:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/migqxjzty5-staging.onrocket.site\/blog\/?p=11213"},"modified":"2023-01-25T11:11:08","modified_gmt":"2023-01-25T11:11:08","slug":"automation-is-already-major-cause-of-decline-in-vacancies","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.adzuna.co.uk\/blog\/automation-is-already-major-cause-of-decline-in-vacancies\/","title":{"rendered":"Automation is already major cause of decline in vacancies"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em>A new report from Adzuna on the current state of automation\u00a0has identified the reasons behind the drop in demand for the fastest declining roles around the UK. The full whitepaper is available to download <a href=\"https:\/\/www.adzuna.co.uk\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/Adzuna-The-Start-of-the-Curve-Whitepaper.pdf\">here<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n<h3>The start of the curve<\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Analysis of over 79 million UK job adverts from the previous two years has found that just under two-thirds of the greatest declining roles (13 out of 20) have been primarily caused by automation.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>The study, entitled <em><strong>&#8220;The Start of the Curve&#8221;,<\/strong><\/em>\u00a0was led by the Head of Data Science at Adzuna, James Neave:<b>\u00a0<\/b><\/p>\n<p><em>\u201cUsing Adzuna\u2019s unique jobs dataset has enabled us to complement recent studies which predicted the hypothetical effect of automation. Our white paper takes a different approach by quantifying the trends that we are actually observing in UK job vacancies in recent years.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-11220\" src=\"https:\/\/www.adzuna.co.uk\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/pasted-image-0-2.png\" alt=\"Primary reason for decline in occupations\" width=\"600\" height=\"360\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.adzuna.co.uk\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/pasted-image-0-2.png 600w, https:\/\/www.adzuna.co.uk\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/pasted-image-0-2-300x180.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" \/><\/p>\n<h3>Pharmacy assistants, travel agents and translators lose out<\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Some of the fastest declining roles in the UK were pharmacy assistants and translators. Automation in the travel industry means that the need for <a href=\"https:\/\/www.adzuna.co.uk\/blog\/career-tips\/cvs-cover-letters\/free-travel-agent-cv-template\/\">travel agent CVs<\/a> are also in decline. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Creative industries weren&#8217;t immune from automation either, with illustrators and writers featuring in the top 10 declining occupations.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-11225\" src=\"https:\/\/www.adzuna.co.uk\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/typewriter.jpg\" alt=\"typewriter\" width=\"1154\" height=\"754\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">On the other hand, nail technicians, retail security officers and full stack developers were in greater demand now than two years ago.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The study reports that 25% of the fastest rising roles can be attributed to changing technologies and their impact on the UK labour market, showing that automation can also lead to job growth.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Other key drivers behind growing roles included disposable income spent on services and rising demand for manual workers.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b><\/b><b><\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">On a sector level, the Travel and Creative &amp; Design industries were amongst the fastest decliners by sectors. Meanwhile,\u00a0H<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">ospitality, Logistics, and Social Work featured in the top 5 fastest-growing industries.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><b>Britain\u2019s Fastest Growing Job Titles<\/b><\/h2>\n<ol>\n<li>Nail Technician<\/li>\n<li>Shift Supervisor<\/li>\n<li>Retail Security Officer<\/li>\n<li>Childcare Solicitor<\/li>\n<li>Full Stack Developer<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<h2><b>Britain\u2019s Fastest Declining Job Titles<\/b><\/h2>\n<ol>\n<li>Pharmacy Assistant<\/li>\n<li>Illustrator<\/li>\n<li>IC\/ASIC Design Engineer<\/li>\n<li>Probation Officer<\/li>\n<li>Biztalk Developer<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-11217\" src=\"https:\/\/www.adzuna.co.uk\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/pasted-image-0-1.png\" alt=\"Fastest Growing Sectors - The Start of the Curve White Paper\" width=\"696\" height=\"324\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.adzuna.co.uk\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/pasted-image-0-1.png 696w, https:\/\/www.adzuna.co.uk\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/pasted-image-0-1-300x140.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 696px) 100vw, 696px\" \/><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-11218\" src=\"https:\/\/www.adzuna.co.uk\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/pasted-image-0.png\" alt=\"Fastest Declining Sectors - The Start of the Curve White Paper\" width=\"695\" height=\"303\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.adzuna.co.uk\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/pasted-image-0.png 695w, https:\/\/www.adzuna.co.uk\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/pasted-image-0-300x131.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 695px) 100vw, 695px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><strong>Commenting on the report, Adzuna co-founder Doug Monro had this to say:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">&#8220;The robots are not just coming, they are here already &#8211; in our pockets, workplaces and homes. Automation is already replacing jobs and could be set to replace some roles &#8211; like translators and travel agents &#8211; entirely. But, at least in the short term, AI advances seem to be creating new jobs just as fast.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Tech is changing the shape of industries in more complex ways than previously predicted. \u00a0For example in the creative and design fields, previously feted as \u201crobot-proof\u201d, we are seeing that software and technological tools can help even the most creative of professionals automate tasks, find efficiencies in workflows, and change the way they work.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Employers and jobseekers alike will need to anticipate and react to this high rate of change or they risk being left behind.&#8221;<\/span><\/p>\n<h2>Are Previous Predictions Coming True?<\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The study also analysed recent job demand against the predictions made by Frey &amp; Osborne in their widely reported 2013 paper <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u2018<a href=\"http:\/\/www.oxfordmartin.ox.ac.uk\/downloads\/academic\/The_Future_of_Employment.pdf\">The Future of Employment<\/a>\u2019<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Adzuna&#8217;s data shows that despite a significant shift in the types of advertised roles dominating the UK job market, Frey and Osborne&#8217;s predictions on the roles which face extinction within 10 to 20 years show no signs of becoming reality just yet.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-11227\" src=\"https:\/\/www.adzuna.co.uk\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/workroom.jpg\" alt=\"workroom\" width=\"1172\" height=\"730\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Summing up the report Doug Monro said: <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201cOur analysis found no correlation yet between these predictions and reality. However, it\u2019s clear that technology is driving both the fastest decliners and risers, and this rate of change is only increasing. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">With the rise of computing power and artificial intelligence applications across many sectors (including AI-based jobseeking tools like Adzuna itself), the labour market is changing.\u201d \u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, James Neave concluded:<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> \u201cThe wave of technological innovation is undoubtedly gathering momentum, and Adzuna analysis suggests this force could well be set to significantly change the shape of the UK job market by 2040. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Although no-one has a crystal ball on this, it looks likely a substantial portion of all desk-based jobs will become automated within the next 25 years.\u201d<\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><br \/>\n<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<h3><em>Methodology<\/em><\/h3>\n<p><em>The full methodology can be seen in the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.adzuna.co.uk\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/Adzuna-The-Start-of-the-Curve-Whitepaper.pdf\">Start of the Curve Whitepaper<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Over 79 million archived UK job adverts were extracted from Adzuna\u2019s database covering the period January 2015 to February 2017. Using this data, monthly counts of new vacancies were generated for ~5,000 unique occupations. These counts were then normalised to account for changes in the total number of job adverts live at any time (accounting for seasonal <\/em>variations),<em> and lastly rebased to a score of 100 in Jan 2015. This final step enables easier direct comparison of changes between occupations.<\/em><\/p>\n<h5><a href=\"https:\/\/www.adzuna.co.uk\/jobs\/eastern-england\/scientific-qa-jobs\"><em>Science Jobs in East England<\/em><\/a><em>\u00a0<\/em><em>\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0<\/em><em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.adzuna.co.uk\/jobs\/engineering-jobs\">Jobs in Engineering<\/a><\/em><\/h5>\n<h5><em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.adzuna.co.uk\/jobs\/london\">Jobs in London<\/a><\/em><em>\u00a0<\/em><em>\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.adzuna.co.uk\/jobs\/hospitality-catering-jobs\">Jobs in Hospitality and Catering<\/a>\u00a0<\/em><\/h5>\n<h5><em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.adzuna.co.uk\/blog\/career-zone\/question\/584\/will-tech-eventually-take-oer-accounting-roles\/\">Will tech ever take over accounting roles?<\/a>\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 <\/em><em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.adzuna.co.uk\/blog\/career-zone\/question\/580\/how-to-draw-in-engineers-and-data-scientists\/\">How do I draw data engineers into my business?<\/a><\/em><\/h5>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A new report from Adzuna on the current state of automation\u00a0has identified the reasons behind the drop in demand for the fastest declining roles around the UK. The full whitepaper is available to download here. The start of the curve Analysis of over 79 million UK job adverts from the previous two years has found<a class=\"moretag\" href=\"https:\/\/www.adzuna.co.uk\/blog\/automation-is-already-major-cause-of-decline-in-vacancies\/\"> Continued \u00bb<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":58,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[821],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-11213","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-job-market"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.adzuna.co.uk\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11213","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.adzuna.co.uk\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.adzuna.co.uk\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.adzuna.co.uk\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/58"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.adzuna.co.uk\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=11213"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.adzuna.co.uk\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11213\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.adzuna.co.uk\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=11213"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.adzuna.co.uk\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=11213"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.adzuna.co.uk\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=11213"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}